Kamala Harris’s stance on crypto could decide 2024 election, says Scaramucci

Anthony Scaramucci, the former White House Communications Director and founder of SkyBridge Capital, shared his insights on the future of crypto regulation in the United States during a recent SlateCast episode. With the 2024 presidential election on the horizon, Scaramucci discussed how the outcome could significantly impact the crypto industry, particularly in relation to Bitcoin and broader regulatory approaches.

“If [Harris] makes the positive crypto statements that I’m expecting after the convention… then I think Gensler’s gone… If she doesn’t make those statements… I think she’s going to lose the election.” – @Scaramucci

Anthony Scaramucci joins @NateWhitehill, @jvs_btc & Akiba… pic.twitter.com/eOdEmtrIYh

— CryptoSlate (@CryptoSlate) August 15, 2024

Scaramucci began by analyzing the political stakes, positioning the election as a pivotal moment for the future of crypto in the US. “I still think it’s Trump’s election to lose, by the way, even though she has momentum,” Scaramucci said, referencing Kamala Harris’s current standing. However, he quickly pointed out the potential consequences if Harris fails to support crypto: “If she makes the positive crypto statements that I’m expecting after the convention and after the nomination, then I think Gensler’s gone.”

Scaramucci’s comments suggest that the future of SEC Chair Gary Gensler, known for his agressive stance on crypto, could be tied to Harris’s position on digital assets. He warned that if Harris aligns with figures like Elizabeth Warren, known for their critical view of the crypto industry, it could spell trouble for her campaign: “If she doesn’t make those statements and she’s lining up with the Warren minions… I think she’s going to lose the election.”

He elaborated on the political implications, noting the increasing influence of the crypto community. “50 million people own the stuff. 5% of those people are single-issue voters and she will be signaling to them she doesn’t care,” Scaramucci explained, underscoring the potential electoral impact of crypto voters who prioritize the issue.

Turning to Donald Trump, Scaramucci highlighted the former president’s evolving stance on crypto. Despite initially dismissing Bitcoin and other digital assets, Trump has begun to shift his position, driven by political calculations. Scaramucci described how Vivek Ramaswamy, a rising political figure, influenced Trump’s change of heart:

“When Ramaswamy sat down with him… and said, ‘Hey, this is what’s going on in the land of crypto… You’ve got to be pro-crypto,’ Trump got that in two seconds. He said, ‘I’m now pro-crypto.’”

However, Scaramucci cautioned that Trump’s newfound support might be more pragmatic than genuine. Scaramucci noted, referencing Trump’s comments at a recent Bitcoin conference,

“He doesn’t give a shit about Bitcoin. He may bring it up and say that he’s for it. He’ll have people like Vivek say, great, but remember what he said, ‘have fun playing with it.”

Scaramucci suggested that this remark indicates that Trump may view Bitcoin more as a political tool than a serious financial asset.

Scaramucci also touched on the broader implications of Trump’s potential return to the White House for the crypto industry. He acknowledged that if Trump wins, the regulatory landscape could shift in favor of digital assets. “If he wins, he’ll put people in the SEC that are pro-coiners,” Scaramucci predicted, adding that Trump would likely support crypto-friendly regulations alongside Democrats who are inclined towards digital assets.

Despite Trump’s shifting stance, Scaramucci stressed the importance of bipartisan support for crypto regulation. He argued that making crypto a partisan issue could harm the industry’s growth and stability. “We don’t want partisan regulation because if Trump’s for it, the Democrats will be against it,” he said. Scaramucci is actively working with figures like Mark Cuban and Mike Novogratz to ensure that crypto regulation in the US becomes a bipartisan effort. “We want both people recognizing this is important for the United States and the world,” he emphasized.

Regarding Kamala Harris, Scaramucci expressed optimism that she would take a pro-crypto stance after securing the Democratic nomination, which he believes is crucial for her success in the general election. He said,

“[Harris is] going to make a pro-Bitcoin, pro-crypto statement after the convention, at which point it’ll be a signal to Gensler, and those minions are gone, and I think people will breathe a sigh of relief.”

However, he also warned that failure to do so could cost her the election.

Scaramucci’s insights reflect a broader trend of increasing political engagement with the crypto industry, recognizing the growing importance of digital assets in the US economy and the electoral landscape. He compared the rise of crypto to the rise of Uber, emphasizing that while political leaders may resist, public demand will ultimately drive adoption:

“No politician, no governmental official wanted Uber… But you know who wanted Uber? The people. And you’re still in a pluralistic democracy. The people got Uber. You know who wants Bitcoin? You know who wants crypto? The people.”

Scaramucci remains cautiously optimistic about the future of crypto regulation in the US, regardless of who wins the 2024 election. He believes that bipartisan support is crucial for the industry’s success and that positive crypto legislation is likely, provided the right political steps are taken. Whether it’s Trump’s transactional support or Harris’s potential pro-crypto shift, Scaramucci sees the upcoming election as a critical moment for the future of digital assets in America.